Monthly Archives: December 2024

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John Black was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about his current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17.

2GB’s John Stanley & John Black 30th Dec, 2024

Category:Australia Votes,DemographicsTags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister. Here’s


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Profile of Modelled Primary & 2PP votes by Incomes for Families- with kids.

Forthcoming Federal Elections Current State of Play Across Individual Seats

Category:Australia Votes,Election Profiles 2025Tags : 

I had a story in the New Year’s edition of the AFR on the current state of play across individual seats at the forthcoming Federal Election. Here’s the link to the story, behind the AFR paywall: 🔗 It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025  https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss. There’s a lot that can happen


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John Black had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night out the possible range of outcomes for the political parties.

It’s Election Time Again

Category:Election Profiles,Election Profiles 2025Tags : 

I had a chat with Laura Tingle on the ABC 7:30 Report on Monday night about the possible range of outcomes for the political parties and independents at the national elections, due by May 17 next year. We also canvassed some of the issues driving voters when they make their voting decision. Fellow election tragics