Tag Archives: Federal Election 2025

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John Black was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about his current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17.

2GB’s John Stanley & John Black 30th Dec, 2024

Category:Australia Votes,DemographicsTags : 

I was interviewed by 2GB’s John Stanley this morning about my current predictions for the next federal election due before May 17, which currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and hence form a Coalition Government with Peter Dutton as Prime Minister.

Here’s the link to my interview with John Stanley:

And here’s the link to my original predictions published this week in the Australian Financial Review New Year’s edition. 🔗https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/it-looks-like-albo-might-need-that-beach-house-in-2025-20241227-p5l0ss

During the chat with John today we canvassed aggregated polling from Resolve Political Monitor published in the Sydney Morning Herald today 🔗https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-loses-ground-in-biggest-states-but-albanese-still-has-edge-on-dutton-as-pm-20241219-p5kzrv.html  which confirmed the alarming drop in support for the Albanese Government late in 2024.

This currently puts Peter Dutton ahead in the race to win a majority of seats in House of Representatives with big gains in seats from New South Wales and Victoria.

This election just got interesting.


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Saul will focus on the impact of the US Presidential Election on the Australian economy in the lead-up to the Australian General Election.

Webinar: Saul Eslake on US Presidential Election Impact on Australian Economy

Category:UncategorizedTags : 

We are pleased to welcome back Australia’s living economic legend Saul Eslake to our Education Geographics Webinars on November 15, when Saul will focus on the impact of the US Presidential Election on the Australian economy in the lead-up to the Australian General Election due by May 2025.

Whoever wins, the outcome of the United States elections for the US President and for the Congress will have profound impacts for the next four years on world trade, on global inflation, and our regional stability.

For example, big increases in US Tariffs could force up inflation in the United States, and this would soon be felt in Australia, increasing inflationary pressures and reducing the likelihood of Interest Rate cuts in the lead-up to the Australian election.

It’s for clients only and If you are a client of Education Geographics, Health Geographics, or Australian Development Strategies and you haven’t yet received your invitation, get in touch with us via https://www.educationgeographics.net.au/contact-us/